# Square's System for Predicting Orders and Guiding Couriers

> This 2018 patent from Square describes a system that predicts which restaurants will get orders and tells delivery drivers where to wait to be ready.

- **Patent:** US 10133995
- **Original title:** Courier network management
- **Owner:** Square Inc
- **Granted:** 2018
- **Status:** Active
- **Times cited:** 63
- **Field:** software, ecommerce, logistics, ai_ml

## What it does

This patent details a system designed to make food delivery more efficient. It analyzes past order data for many restaurants to predict which ones will receive orders during specific times and days. The system also estimates how long it will take to prepare those orders. Based on these predictions, and knowing where delivery drivers are, it tells drivers to move to specific waiting spots. This way, drivers can be closer to a restaurant just as an order is ready for pickup, reducing wait times for everyone.

## What it does NOT cover

- Systems that do not predict future orders based on past order information.
- Systems that do not estimate order preparation times.
- Systems that do not direct couriers to specific waiting locations before an order is ready.
- Systems that do not consider the time of day or day of the week for predictions.
- Systems that do not manage a network of 'active' couriers who are available for assignments.

## The clever bit

The innovation lies in using historical order data not just to see what happened, but to predict *when* and *where* future orders will likely come from, and then proactively positioning couriers *before* the order is even placed, considering preparation time.

## Real-world examples

1. Square's own delivery services
2. Modern food delivery apps like DoorDash
3. Modern food delivery apps like Uber Eats
4. Modern food delivery apps like Grubhub

## Why it matters

This patent is significant because it addresses a core challenge in the on-demand delivery industry: matching supply (couriers) with demand (orders) efficiently. By proactively predicting order volume and guiding couriers, it aims to reduce idle time for drivers and speed up deliveries, which is crucial for customer satisfaction and operational costs in services like DoorDash or Uber Eats.

## Frequently asked questions

### What does Square's System for Predicting Orders and Guiding Couriers cover?

This 2018 patent from Square describes a system that predicts which restaurants will get orders and tells delivery drivers where to wait to be ready.

### Who owns patent US 10133995?

Square Inc owns this patent, granted in 2018.

### When does this patent expire?

This patent is expected to expire on November 20, 2038, when the invention enters the public domain.

### What is patent US 10133995 cited by?

This patent has been cited by 63 later patents that build on its ideas.

### What problem does this patent solve?

This patent is significant because it addresses a core challenge in the on-demand delivery industry: matching supply (couriers) with demand (orders) efficiently. By proactively predicting order volume and guiding couriers, it aims to reduce idle time for drivers and speed up deliveries, which is crucial for customer satisfaction and operational costs in services like DoorDash or Uber Eats.

### What does this patent NOT cover?

Systems that do not predict future orders based on past order information.

**Full plain-English explainer:** https://patentbrief.org/patent/us/10133995/airbnb-host-guest-messaging

**Original patent:** https://patents.google.com/patent/US10133995

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_Source: PatentBrief — https://patentbrief.org. Patent facts are from public records; the plain-English explanation is PatentBrief's._


## Related patents

Semantically similar inventions in the PatentBrief corpus:

- [How Square Prepares Digital Tabs for Customers Before They Arrive](https://patentbrief.org/patent/us/10157378/stripe-connect) — A system that lets merchants create a digital customer tab before a guest arrives, using reservation data to pre-load preferences and payment info for a faster checkout.
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- [How Uber Calculates Ride-Pooling Times to Keep Detours Reasonable](https://patentbrief.org/patent/us/9939279/uber-eta-prediction) — Uber's 2015 patent on matching multiple riders into a single shared vehicle by calculating whether the detour will keep everyone's arrival times within an acceptable limit compared to a private ride.
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- [How Digital Receipts Turn One-Time Payments Into Ongoing Customer Relationships](https://patentbrief.org/patent/us/10217092/shopify-shipping) — A system that transforms static digital receipts into dynamic, time-sensitive portals for rewards, feedback, and tipping after a purchase is complete.
